TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Joventut vs. Bilbao Basket
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Joventut vs. Bilbao Basket?

Volume:
$64,861

Bilbao Basket

 - Kalshi

Bilbao Basket - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 8:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bilbao Basket

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,129
N/A
N/A
$15,854
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Club Joventut Badalona

View
0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,522
N/A
N/A
$15,535
Settled
No
polymarket

Joventut vs. Bilbao Basket

View
0%
70%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 32m
No
polymarket

O/U 178.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Joventut (-6.5)

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group concerns a Liga Endesa basketball game between Joventut and Bilbao Basket on November 1st. Markets exist to predict the winner of the game, the point spread, and whether the total score will be over or under a specified threshold.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A significant date discrepancy exists between the platforms, with Polymarket referencing the game in 2024 and Kalshi referencing the game in 2026.Hero tip: Prioritize trading on Polymarket, as it reflects the actual upcoming game. Avoid Kalshi unless you specifically intend to bet on a game two years in the future.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the Liga Endesa game scheduled for November 1, 2024. If Joventut wins, the market resolves to 'Joventut'. If Bilbao Basket wins, it resolves to 'Bilbao Basket'. Postponements delay resolution; cancellations result in a 50-50 split. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the Liga Endesa game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Either Joventut or Bilbao Basket winning resolves the market to 'Yes'. "If Club Joventut Badalona wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bilbao Basket wins... then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for November 1 at 6:00AM ET: If the Joventut win, the market will resolve to "Joventut". If the Bilbao Basket win, the market will resolve to "Bilbao Basket". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game between Bilbao Basket and Club Joventut Badalona, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 6:00 AM EST. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official final result of the actually played game. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting uncertainty or impossibility of an official outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Joventut vs. Bilbao game. Currently, the consensus view across both platforms indicates a probability of approximately 71 for a specific outcome, with a total volume of $64,861. This allows traders to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' is assessing the likelihood of different results. The dashboard tracks the price movements and volume traded on each platform, offering a comprehensive view of market sentiment. It’s a great way to understand how predictions are evolving leading up to the event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and attempt to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient price discovery. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to their resources, prediction markets can sometimes outperform them, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. The current volume on this market is $64,852.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Joventut vs. Bilbao game can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which can influence price. Furthermore, the specific market design – the types of outcomes offered and the rules for trading – can also contribute to differences. Currently, Polymarket favors one outcome, while Kalshi leans toward another. These discrepancies present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling the same outcome on different platforms.