TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between JOS Watergraafsmeer and Breda in the first round of the KNVB tournament. The result determines which team progresses following their head-to-head contest. It reflects the competitive performance of both teams in this specific match.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the soccer match between JOS Watergraafsmeer and Breda in the first round of the KNVB tournament. If JOS Watergraafsmeer advances past Breda, the 'JOS Watergraafsmeer advances' market resolves to Yes, and the 'Breda advances' market resolves to No. Conversely, if Breda advances past JOS Watergraafsmeer, the 'Breda advances' market resolves to Yes, and the 'JOS Watergraafsmeer advances' market resolves to No. All references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are used descriptively and do not imply any endorsement or affiliation between FIFA and the event organizer.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment of this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations for the JOS Watergraafsmeer vs Breda match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the JOS Watergraafsmeer vs Breda match, as determined by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accurate settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected results in related matches or significant public endorsements could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments in this market.