TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 4.5 total goals will be scored in the Jordan versus Venezuela international friendly soccer match. Currently, the probability of over 4.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 15.0%, while the probability of over 1.5 goals being scored is 1.0%. The market will resolve based on whether over 1.5 goals are scored in the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the teams’ starting lineups announced closer to the match on October 6, 2026, as this will provide insight into their offensive strategies and potential for scoring.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Jordan vs Venezuela professional Intl Friendlies soccer game scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The markets are independent, each with its own threshold, and all share the same temporal parameters for resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, injuries, and other relevant factors, potentially offering a more real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal tally from the Jordan vs Venezuela match will be used to determine whether the contracts predicting over or under a specific goal threshold will pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Jordan or Venezuela would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before the match could also influence trader behavior. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators or analysts could shift sentiment and impact the price of contracts in this market.