TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional Ettan soccer match between Jonkopings Sodra and Ariana FC. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will resolve according to whether Jonkopings Sodra, Ariana FC, or neither team (a tie) secures the victory within regulation time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Jonkopings Sodra vs Ariana FC professional Ettan soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Jonkopings Sodra win, Ariana FC win, or a tie. A win is defined as one team scoring more goals than the other by the end of regulation time; a tie occurs when both teams have equal scores. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration, meaning only the result after regulation time determines the resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a certain outcome, the odds here can move in a different direction. It’s common to see this market converge towards what many consider the 'true' probability as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity determine how quickly and significantly the prices adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Jonkopings Sodra vs Ariana FC match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the official outcome, and payouts will be processed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or significant changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks, might also cause movement. Major news events or public statements related to the teams or players could also impact trading activity, leading to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.