TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Jong Sparta and Almere, focusing on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The markets will determine whether Jong Sparta, Almere, or a tied outcome occurs by the end of regular time. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will be handled according to specific fairness guidelines.
The event resolves based on the result of the Jong Sparta vs Almere professional Tweede Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: a win for Jong Sparta, a win for Almere, or a tied result. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution strictly considers the result within the standard match duration, with no account for post-regulation periods. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage or highlight areas where the market anticipates information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jong Sparta vs Almere match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this information. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from analysts, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant bets placed by large traders could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Jong Sparta vs Almere match will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.