TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Jong AZ Alkmaar and Helmond, focusing on determining whether either team wins after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result will be based solely on the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level, a separate outcome is designated for a tied result.
The event resolves based on the result of the Jong AZ Alkmaar versus Helmond professional Eerste Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Jong AZ Alkmaar, a win for Helmond, or a tie. The market resolves to Yes for the respective outcome that matches the final score at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to openly buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result, we often see the odds on Kalshi move in the opposite direction. This dynamic can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price will fluctuate based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people buy contracts predicting a certain result, the price will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that aims to accurately reflect the perceived likelihood of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jong AZ vs Helmond match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, with winning contracts paying out $1.00 and losing contracts being worth $0.00. Traders will be able to claim their winnings shortly after the official result is available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi by informed traders can create short-term price fluctuations, as can broader shifts in public perception regarding the teams' chances of winning.