TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Jong AZ Alkmaar and Den Bosch. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Den Bosch professional Eerste Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026. The market will resolve to Yes for the 'Jong AZ Alkmaar' outcome if Jong AZ Alkmaar wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks. Similarly, the 'Den Bosch' market resolves to Yes if Den Bosch secures a victory under the same conditions. The 'Tie' market resolves to Yes if the match concludes with an equal score after the regulation time including stoppage minutes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes results from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the outcome within the standard match duration.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Den Bosch match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Jong AZ Alkmaar or Den Bosch could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can impact trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.