TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Almere
- Kalshi
Almere - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:21h:43m
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This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Jong AZ Alkmaar and Almere. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The market has three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Jong AZ Alkmaar versus Almere professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for either team occurs only if that specific team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty phases. If the match concludes with an equal score after the permitted duration, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original time, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in public sentiment than sportsbooks do.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated beliefs of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. The current market reflects the collective judgment of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Almere match, as reported by a trusted sporting news source. The final score and official match result will determine which outcome, if any, pays out to contract holders. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive result, as this will be the basis for settlement on Kalshi.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could influence traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the match can impact trading activity. A surprising result in a related match, or a change in betting trends, could also contribute to price movement in this market.