TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Netherlands Eerste Divisie game between Jong Ajax Amsterdam and VVV Venlo, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs. VVV Venlo match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Netherlands Eerste Divisie game between Jong Ajax Amsterdam and VVV Venlo, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs. VVV Venlo match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, prediction markets, like this one, are closer to a direct expression of collective belief. If a significant number of traders believe a particular score is more likely, the odds will reflect that, potentially differing from sportsbook lines that may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or house biases. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong sentiment or information asymmetry.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that score occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated insights of those participating. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Jong Ajax vs. VVV Venlo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine which shares payout. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movements in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players for either Jong Ajax or VVV Venlo, or changes in weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or tactical changes might also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion or analysis regarding the likely outcome of the match, as reflected in sports news and commentary, could drive trading volume and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.