TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs. Vitesse Arnhem
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs. Vitesse Arnhem?

Total volume:
$18,516
Volume 24h:
$18,314N/A
Liquidity:
$63,645
778%
Open interest:
$13,688
100%

Jong Ajax Amsterdam

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 01h:35m:08s

Jong Ajax Amsterdam wins

66%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 67¢ buys you 149 shares | Odds: 66% Total Payout: $149 | Net Profit: $49 Multiplier: 1.49x | ROI: 49% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jong Ajax Amsterdam

Trade
66%
Yes 67¢No 34¢
1¢
N/A
$11,137
0%
N/A
$10,391
1h 35m
Active
polymarket

Jong Ajax Amsterdam

Trade
62%
3%
Yes 64¢No 41¢
5¢
$18,926
$744
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
65.7%
Yes 65.5¢No 37.5¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Draw (Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs. Vitesse Arnhem)

Trade
27%
Yes 29¢No 76¢
5¢
$28,540
$287
39%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
24%
Yes 25¢No 76¢
1¢
N/A
$1,182
0%
N/A
$944
1h 35m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
24.5%
Yes 27¢No 76¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Vitesse Arnhem

Trade
13%
30%
Yes 15¢No 90¢
5¢
$16,180
$1,748
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Vitesse

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$3,418
0%
N/A
$2,353
1h 35m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10.8%
Yes 12.5¢No 90.5¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 5¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Jong Ajax Amsterdam and Vitesse Arnhem scheduled for November 2, 2026. Markets exist for Jong Ajax Amsterdam winning, Vitesse Arnhem winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellation by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not mention cancellation, implying potential for markets to remain open or resolve differently.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario, while Kalshi's resolution is less clear.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (governing body, Flashscore, Sofascore) for results. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Relies on the game occurring to determine a winner or draw.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Netherlands Eerste Divisie game, scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 between Jong Ajax Amsterdam and Vitesse Arnhem.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Jong Ajax Amsterdam vs Vitesse professional Eerste Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution strictly considers the outcome within regular time, with no account for extended play or penalty decisions.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Jong Ajax vs. Vitesse match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a roughly 47% chance of Vitesse Arnhem winning, based on trading volume of $18,345. This reflects the collective predictions of users on both venues. The dashboard aggregates data from both Polymarket and Kalshi to provide a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. It's important to note that volume on this market is currently $14,816.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when information is incomplete or subjective. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to hedge their bets, influencing the odds in ways not possible with sportsbooks. The current volume of $18,345 suggests active trading and a dynamic assessment of the potential outcome.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Different user bases, varying liquidity, and distinct market-making strategies all contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket currently favors Will Jong Ajax Amsterdam win on 2026-11-02? at 61.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Jong Ajax Amsterdam wins at 66.0%. Additionally, the specific rules and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the observed prices. The total volume across both platforms is $18,345, indicating varying levels of interest and participation.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Jong Ajax vs. Vitesse match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the official result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified outcome of this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 2, 2026. Unexpected injuries to key players on either Jong Ajax or Vitesse Arnhem would likely shift the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding potential player transfers or managerial changes could also move the market. Finally, any significant public information regarding the teams' preparation or strategy could lead to adjustments in the probabilities reflected on Polymarket and Kalshi.