TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Liiga match between Jokerit Helsinki and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for October 10 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Jokerit Helsinki" if Jokerit Helsinki is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Ilves Tampere" if Ilves Tampere is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the Liiga match between Jokerit Helsinki and Ilves Tampere, scheduled for October 10 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Jokerit Helsinki" if Jokerit Helsinki is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Ilves Tampere" if Ilves Tampere is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the prediction market price will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market perceptions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it, providing a real-time probability assessment of the game’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jokerit vs. Ilves game, as reported by a recognized sports data source. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, performance in recent games, shifts in public opinion, and even weather conditions could all play a role. Major upsets in other related games, or even significant media coverage focusing on one team's strengths or weaknesses, could also trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves leading up to Oct 17, 2026.