TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Liiga match between Jokerit Helsinki and Assat Pori, scheduled for October 16 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Jokerit Helsinki" if Jokerit Helsinki is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Assat Pori" if Assat Pori is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the Liiga match between Jokerit Helsinki and Assat Pori, scheduled for October 16 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Jokerit Helsinki" if Jokerit Helsinki is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Assat Pori" if Assat Pori is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, however, is driven by individuals directly putting their capital at risk, which can lead to odds that more accurately forecast the true probability of an outcome. It’s important to compare both to inform your own assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jokerit Helsinki versus Assat Pori game in the Finnish Liiga playoffs. The platform will then verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could shift expectations. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even significant momentum shifts during the game itself, could also cause the market to react. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, may also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by traders’ willingness to buy or sell shares based on their own analysis.