TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an AFC Champions League soccer match between Johor Darul Ta'zim and Port FC. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match within regular time, or if the game will end in a draw. The result is determined solely by the standing after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Johor Darul Ta'zim vs Port FC professional AFC Champions League soccer game scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either team’s market occurs only if that specific team wins in regular time; a tied result resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as outcomes are strictly determined by the standing at the end of regular time including stoppage minutes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the prediction market price will move accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the true probability of each result. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium point. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price can shift rapidly based on new information or changes in sentiment, creating opportunities for informed traders to profit from mispricings. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Johor Darul Ta'zim vs Port FC match, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The exact payout will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or shifts in overall league standings, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could contribute to price movements. Major weather events or logistical issues affecting travel could also be catalysts for change in this market.