TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Joaquin Buckley will win his UFC fight against Mike Malott by KO, TKO, or DQ. Currently, Kalshi gives a 33.0% probability to this outcome. Mike Malott winning by Decision is currently priced at 22.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott UFC Fight Night fight, as determined by official fight records. Keep an eye on the fight itself on October 17, 2026, as the result of that event will directly determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Buckley wins by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Malott wins by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision, that market resolves to Yes. Should the fight end in a draw or no contest, the designated market resolves to Yes. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular result in the Buckley vs Malott fight.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the Buckley vs Malott fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority, will determine the winning contract. The method of victory – knockout, submission, decision, or other – will be the deciding factor. Traders who correctly predicted the method of victory will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends or analysis from MMA experts could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, the release of official weigh-in results and any last-minute changes to the fight card could all contribute to volatility in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026.