TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Lloyd Harris in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Lloyd Harris. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Lloyd Harris in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Lloyd Harris. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by a large number of participants. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a forward-looking assessment of the Bellucci vs Harris match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bellucci vs Harris match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and after it concludes to understand the final resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either player’s preparation or strategy could also cause movement. Furthermore, early results from other matches in the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the playing surface, might influence predictions. Monitoring tennis news and analysis leading up to Oct 11, 2026 will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes.