TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Alexandra Shubladze in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Bouzas Maneiro' if Jessica Bouzas Maneiro advances against Alexandra Shubladze. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Shubladze' if Alexandra Shubladze advances against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Alexandra Shubladze in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Bouzas Maneiro' if Jessica Bouzas Maneiro advances against Alexandra Shubladze. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Shubladze' if Alexandra Shubladze advances against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to account for profit margins and attract balanced betting, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ strengths. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more efficient forecast of the Jingshan tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of that player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Jingshan tennis match. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jingshan tennis match between Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Alexandra Shubladze, as determined by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 11, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Jingshan tennis match could also impact perceptions of the players’ form and confidence. Finally, any significant analysis released by tennis experts or commentators could sway the market, as traders incorporate new information into their forecasts.