TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alexandre Muller in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Alexandre Muller in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Machac vs Muller match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a consensus view. The current price reflects the market’s collective expectation of the likelihood of a particular outcome in this match, and the volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Machac vs Muller match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The market will determine which player won the match, or if the match was completed at all. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updated match previews from tennis analysts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s probability assessment of the Machac vs Muller match.