TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Aleksandar Vukic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Aleksandar Vukic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Aleksandar Vukic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Aleksandar Vukic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the odds in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or new information emerges that isn’t fully factored into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The market’s depth and volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Machac vs Vukic match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The platform’s process ensures a fair and reliable settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from reputable tennis analysts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might draw attention to potential mispricings, prompting traders to adjust their positions. Monitoring these signals and events can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.