TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Yosuke Watanuki in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Yosuke Watanuki. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Semen Pankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Semen Pankin and Yosuke Watanuki in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Yosuke Watanuki. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Semen Pankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes the value lies in the Pankin-Watanuki match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pankin-Watanuki match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a specific result in this match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Pankin-Watanuki match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Semen Pankin or Yosuke Watanuki, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Major upsets or surprising tactical decisions during the match itself would undoubtedly cause significant price movement as the outcome becomes clearer.