TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Vit Kopriva in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Vit Kopriva. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kopriva' if Vit Kopriva advances against Pavel Kotov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Vit Kopriva in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Vit Kopriva. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kopriva' if Vit Kopriva advances against Pavel Kotov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise. However, it's important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their own strengths and weaknesses, and neither is always perfectly accurate. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Kotov vs Kopriva match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The current price indicates the collective expectation of the crowd, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional forecasting methods.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kotov vs Kopriva match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event's progress and potential impact on the market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or tactical adjustments announced by either player could influence trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.