TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Omar Jasika and Petr Bar Biryukov in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Omar Jasika' if Omar Jasika advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Omar Jasika. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Omar Jasika and Petr Bar Biryukov in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Omar Jasika' if Omar Jasika advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Omar Jasika. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade and express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently and accurately as more information becomes available and more traders participate in this market. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and opinions shift. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their chosen outcome prevails. This dynamic pricing system aims to converge towards the true probability of each result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jasika vs Biryukov match as declared by the governing body of the competition. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform’s guidelines. Traders should ensure they understand the resolution process to accurately assess their positions in this market before the resolution date.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probability of each outcome. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also trigger significant price movements. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role in shaping the market's direction. Any new information that alters the assessment of each competitor's chances has the potential to move this market.