TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding the event. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember they represent different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jinan match between Mattia Bellucci and Shintaro Mochizuki. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes trigger follow-on activity. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 24, 2026.