TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Martin Landaluce in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Martin Landaluce. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Martin Landaluce in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Martin Landaluce. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market, driven by informed traders on Polymarket, can offer a different perspective. Discrepancies can arise due to varying levels of information, differing analytical approaches, or simply the unique incentives present in a prediction market environment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates available information and provides a real-time assessment of expectations for the Bellucci-Landaluce match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bellucci-Landaluce match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will rely on publicly available data to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics for either Mattia Bellucci or Martin Landaluce could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could contribute to price movements within this market.