TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Liam Draxl in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Liam Draxl. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Martin Landaluce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Liam Draxl in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Liam Draxl. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Martin Landaluce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the relative strengths of the players involved. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform, and the current price indicates the market's consensus expectation for the result of the Landaluce vs Draxl match. The volume traded also provides insight into the confidence level surrounding each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Landaluce vs Draxl match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to stay informed about the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift expectations. Significant media coverage or expert analysis offering a strong opinion on the likely winner could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments in the broader tennis landscape, or even general shifts in public sentiment, might also play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve in the coming days.