TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Ilia Simakin in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Martin Landaluce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Ilia Simakin in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Martin Landaluce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It is common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when public opinion shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for identifying potential mispricings and informed betting opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price discovery, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system. The current market reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Ilia Simakin match. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements and results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies for either Martin Landaluce or Ilia Simakin could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader developments in the tournament, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades from influential market participants or shifts in public opinion could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts.