TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Jake Delaney in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Jake Delaney. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Marat Sharipov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Jake Delaney in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Jake Delaney. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Marat Sharipov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of each fighter winning.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The market's efficiency relies on active participation and the availability of information, allowing the price to converge towards a fair assessment of the likely result of the Sharipov vs Delaney fight.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharipov vs Delaney fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conferences could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class adjustments or changes to the fight card could also have an impact. Publicly available analysis from boxing experts and any shifts in betting lines at traditional sportsbooks may also influence trading activity within this market, as traders react to new information and reassess probabilities.