TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 2:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Tristan Schoolkate in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Tristan Schoolkate in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value opportunities, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true likelihood of each outcome in the Pavlovic-Schoolkate match. This dynamic pricing system allows for a fluid and responsive market, reflecting new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jinan: Luka Pavlovic vs Tristan Schoolkate match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Luka Pavlovic or Tristan Schoolkate could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or broader shifts in public sentiment about the players’ performance, could also play a role. Major upsets in related tournaments or announcements about playing conditions are other potential catalysts that could impact the market.