TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Kangyuan Shi in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Kangyuan Shi. This market will resolve to 'Kangyuan Shi' if Kangyuan Shi advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Kangyuan Shi in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Kangyuan Shi. This market will resolve to 'Kangyuan Shi' if Kangyuan Shi advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Pavlovic vs Shi match, the prediction market odds may diverge. It's common to see differences, especially before significant events or when new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Pavlovic vs Shi match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% for the winning player, as determined by the official match results. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be evaluated based on widely accepted tennis officiating standards and publicly available information. Traders should monitor official sources for the final outcome to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several signals could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 19, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all move the market. Unexpected announcements about a player's fitness, tactical adjustments revealed during practice sessions, or even high-profile endorsements could all impact trader behavior. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either player winning the Pavlovic vs Shi match are likely to cause price fluctuations.