TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Yutong Du in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Yutong Du. This market will resolve to 'Yutong Du' if Yutong Du advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Yutong Du in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Yutong Du. This market will resolve to 'Yutong Du' if Yutong Du advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time information and the opinions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or unexpected developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results, driven by informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Jinan tennis match between Liam Draxl and Yutong Du. The platform will rely on widely available, authoritative sources to verify the winner of the match and finalize the market’s settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, training reports, or even weather forecasts for Jinan could all contribute to price movements. Significant betting activity from large traders could also create noticeable shifts in the market, as could any public statements from analysts regarding the players' chances of winning the Draxl vs Du match.