TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 1:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and James Duckworth in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against James Duckworth. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and James Duckworth in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against James Duckworth. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Draxl vs Duckworth match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher probability of that outcome occurring. Conversely, if more people sell shares, the price decreases. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds reflect the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Draxl vs Duckworth match, as officially reported by tournament organizers, will determine which outcome is considered correct for the purposes of this market. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the Draxl vs Duckworth match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can influence the price of shares. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market effectively.