TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Vit Kopriva in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Vit Kopriva. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kopriva' if Vit Kopriva advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Vit Kopriva in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Vit Kopriva. This market will resolve to 'Vit Kopriva' if Vit Kopriva advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as more information and opinions are incorporated. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to news and developments than traditional sportsbooks, as the price adjusts continuously with each trade.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and represents the aggregated expectations of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Smith vs Kopriva match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the event. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome. The market will close and settlement will occur shortly after the official result is available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Keegan Smith or Vit Kopriva could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could sway traders’ opinions, leading to price adjustments as they react to new information and perspectives on the likely winner of the Smith vs Kopriva match.