TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaito Uesugi and Yuquan Jin in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaito Uesugi' if Kaito Uesugi advances against Yuquan Jin. This market will resolve to 'Yuquan Jin' if Yuquan Jin advances against Kaito Uesugi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaito Uesugi and Yuquan Jin in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaito Uesugi' if Kaito Uesugi advances against Yuquan Jin. This market will resolve to 'Yuquan Jin' if Yuquan Jin advances against Kaito Uesugi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. This can lead to odds that differ from sportsbooks, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information not fully captured by bookmakers. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions, potentially identifying value where sportsbooks may not.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jinan Kaito Uesugi vs Yuquan Jin match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The market will determine which competitor is declared the winner of the match. It’s important to note that the outcome is determined by real-world events, not by any internal platform criteria.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding the condition of either Kaito Uesugi or Yuquan Jin, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Updates on their recent performance, training regimens, or strategic adjustments could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, public sentiment and any expert analysis released before the match could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market’s price. Unexpected announcements related to the match’s venue or scheduling could also play a role.