TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaito Uesugi and Yosuke Watanuki in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaito Uesugi' if Kaito Uesugi advances against Yosuke Watanuki. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Kaito Uesugi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaito Uesugi and Yosuke Watanuki in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kaito Uesugi' if Kaito Uesugi advances against Yosuke Watanuki. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Kaito Uesugi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of player performance and match dynamics. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome – in this case, a win for either Kaito Uesugi or Yosuke Watanuki. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available information.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jinan: Kaito Uesugi vs Yosuke Watanuki match. The platform will identify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or coaching changes could also influence the odds. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches or tournaments, and even public commentary from tennis analysts, may all contribute to price movements. Increased media attention or significant betting activity on traditional sportsbooks could also indirectly affect trading volume and price discovery in this market.