TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 1:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Marat Sharipov in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Marat Sharipov. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Ilya Ivashka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Marat Sharipov in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Marat Sharipov. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Ilya Ivashka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently, or that one venue has a more informed set of participants. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ivashka vs Sharipov match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket themselves can create momentum and cause the price to move, as traders react to the perceived information driving those trades. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.