TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Kaichi Uchida in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Kaichi Uchida. This market will resolve to 'Kaichi Uchida' if Kaichi Uchida advances against Ilya Ivashka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Kaichi Uchida in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Kaichi Uchida. This market will resolve to 'Kaichi Uchida' if Kaichi Uchida advances against Ilya Ivashka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are formed through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Ilya Ivashka and Kaichi Uchida, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against credible public sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could cause the odds to move. Unexpected performance in preceding matches or even weather forecasts impacting the game could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely impact trading activity and, therefore, the price of shares in this market.