TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Mattia Bellucci in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome of the Ymer vs Bellucci match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and adjust more quickly to new developments than sportsbooks, especially in situations where public opinion diverges from expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting a growing consensus. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Ymer vs Bellucci match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ymer vs Bellucci match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 19, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could all impact the perceived probabilities of each player winning the Ymer vs Bellucci match. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also affect confidence levels. Any significant information related to player form, strategy, or motivation has the potential to drive trading volume and shift the odds, as traders react to new data and adjust their predictions accordingly.