TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dane Sweeny and Bernard Tomic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Bernard Tomic. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Dane Sweeny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dane Sweeny and Bernard Tomic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Bernard Tomic. This market will resolve to 'Bernard Tomic' if Bernard Tomic advances against Dane Sweeny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights that aren't fully reflected in initial sportsbook offerings, potentially providing a more accurate forecast.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Sweeny vs Tomic match result. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sweeny vs Tomic match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either player’s fitness or strategy could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public opinion, can all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. A strong showing by either player in a preceding tournament could also move the market.