TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ajeet Rai and Jake Delaney in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ajeet Rai' if Ajeet Rai advances against Jake Delaney. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Ajeet Rai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ajeet Rai and Jake Delaney in the Jinan, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ajeet Rai' if Ajeet Rai advances against Jake Delaney. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Ajeet Rai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may also adjust their lines more slowly than Polymarket in response to new information or changing sentiment. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before an event gains widespread attention. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into public and informed opinion about the Rai vs Delaney fight.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the fight's likely result. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Rai vs Delaney fight, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the fight. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and impact trading activity on Polymarket. Any significant updates about the fighters’ condition or strategy could lead to substantial movements in the odds for the Rai vs Delaney fight.