TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:23 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 7:35AM ET: If the Jilin Northeast Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Jilin Northeast Tigers". If the Xinjiang Flying Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Xinjiang Flying Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 22 at 7:35AM ET: If the Jilin Northeast Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Jilin Northeast Tigers". If the Xinjiang Flying Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Xinjiang Flying Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Polymarket in a different direction. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe the Jilin Northeast Tigers or the Xinjiang Flying Tigers will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Jilin Northeast Tigers versus Xinjiang Flying Tigers game in the Chinese Basketball Association. The platform will verify the final score against reliable sports news sources to determine which team won and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the game’s result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions for either the Jilin Northeast Tigers or the Xinjiang Flying Tigers could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even changes in public perception based on sports commentary, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market and cause a rapid price adjustment before Oct 29, 2026.