TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:20 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:35AM ET: If the Jilin Northeast Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Jilin Northeast Tigers". If the Shenzhen Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Shenzhen Leopards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:35AM ET: If the Jilin Northeast Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Jilin Northeast Tigers". If the Shenzhen Leopards win, the market will resolve to "Shenzhen Leopards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team biases, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information emerges – such as team news or injury reports – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, especially as the event draws closer, as they benefit from continuous trading and information incorporation.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, creating a probabilistic forecast for the Jilin Northeast Tigers versus Shenzhen Leopards game.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jilin Northeast Tigers versus Shenzhen Leopards game within the Chinese Basketball Association. The platform will verify the final score against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to payouts based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Jilin Northeast Tigers or the Shenzhen Leopards would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team lineups, coaching decisions, or even reports about team morale could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, performance in preceding games, shifts in public sentiment, and even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could all contribute to movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on changing probabilities.