TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:47 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 18 at 7:35AM ET: If the Jilin Northeast Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Jilin Northeast Tigers". If the Beijing Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 18 at 7:35AM ET: If the Jilin Northeast Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Jilin Northeast Tigers". If the Beijing Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Beijing Ducks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets and sportsbooks have different risk profiles and liquidity levels, which can influence their respective odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Jilin Northeast Tigers and Beijing Ducks game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Jilin Northeast Tigers versus Beijing Ducks game as reported by official sources for the Chinese Basketball Association. The market will determine which outcome – a win for the Jilin Northeast Tigers or a win for the Beijing Ducks – actually occurred. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on real-world events.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions for either the Jilin Northeast Tigers or the Beijing Ducks could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could also impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media or other online forums, can also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning has the potential to affect the price of shares in this market.