TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:26 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Jiangxi Dingnan United and Shenzhen Juniors FC in China's League 1. The result will be determined by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The market will reflect whether one team wins outright or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Jiangxi Dingnan United vs Shenzhen Juniors FC professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Jiangxi Dingnan United wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Shenzhen Juniors FC secures the victory under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within the standard match duration.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals' independent assessments of the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into where the crowd and the experts disagree about the Jiangxi vs Shenzhen match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Jiangxi vs Shenzhen match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The platform uses a margin system, and traders must deposit collateral to cover potential losses, ensuring the market remains solvent and functioning efficiently.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jiangxi Dingnan United versus Shenzhen Juniors FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract(s) and distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds for this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Jiangxi Dingnan United or Shenzhen Juniors FC would likely have an impact. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could drive trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.