TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 9:33 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in China's top-tier league. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine how the market ultimately settles.
The event determines the winner of a men's professional China CBA basketball game between Jiangsu Dragons and Beijing Royal Fighters, scheduled for October 23, 2026, at 7:35 AM EDT. If either team wins the game as originally scheduled, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both types of markets. It’s worth comparing the two to see where the perceived value lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to fluctuations in the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and accurate assessment of the event’s likelihood, driven by the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jiangsu Dragons versus Beijing Royal Fighters basketball game. The platform will identify the winning team based on official game statistics and league records. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team performance, or coaching changes for either the Jiangsu Dragons or the Beijing Royal Fighters could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about game location or scheduling changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, general news related to the Chinese Basketball Association, or broader sporting events, might indirectly affect trading activity. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price movements in this market.