TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.8b
24H VOL:
$104,324,478
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,660,434,525
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,604,169,862
483,380
Markets across
36,605
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,881
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total number of touchdowns scored by the New York Jets in their game against the Detroit Lions, specifically whether that number will be over or under 2.5. Currently, the consensus probability that the Jets will score over 2.5 touchdowns is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects trading activity from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on official data reported at https://www.nfl.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 27th to see if the Jets reach this threshold, as that date represents the end of the betting period for this market.
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Jets wins, the market will resolve to "Jets". If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Detroit wins the New York J vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York J wins the New York J vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of individuals who have ‘skin in the game’. This often leads to prediction markets being more accurate, especially as the event approaches, as traders are incentivized to make correct predictions. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets or have different risk tolerances, leading to discrepancies in the implied probabilities. It's also important to note that market volume can influence price discovery in prediction markets.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jets or the Lions would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting action on either side in traditional sportsbooks could spill over into the prediction market, affecting prices. Finally, any unexpected developments related to team morale or coaching changes could also contribute to movement in this market as traders react to new information.