TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers markets on the November 1st NHL game between the Winnipeg Jets and the Carolina Hurricanes. Markets include a straight win/loss outcome and Over/Under bets on the total number of goals scored in the game.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00PM ET: If the Jets win, the market will resolve to "Jets". If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00PM ET: If the Jets win, the market will resolve to "Jets". If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an event. This can lead to differences, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. However, both aim to predict the same outcome: the result of the Jets-Hurricanes game, and both are influenced by available information.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different demographic of traders with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, influencing how they price the outcome of the Jets-Hurricanes game. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can impact price discovery. While both platforms ultimately aim to reflect the true probability, these factors contribute to potential discrepancies in the odds observed across Polymarket and Predict.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Jets or the Hurricanes would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team performance or coaching strategies could also impact trading activity. Major news events affecting the broader sports landscape could have a ripple effect, though this is less likely for a specific game like the Jets-Hurricanes game. Monitoring these factors and the evolving volume of $171,367 can provide insights into potential market movements.