TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:21 PM EST
Polymarket
First Touchdown Scorer markets for Jets vs. Bears.
First Touchdown Scorer markets for Jets vs. Bears.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player being the first to score a touchdown. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player who officially scores the first touchdown in the Jets vs. Bears game, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game logs and any subsequent reviews necessary to confirm the first touchdown scorer. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed based on whether the purchased outcome occurred.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team would undoubtedly cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a running or passing game, could also impact the market. Pre-game reports about coaching strategies or specific play-calling tendencies might also sway traders. Finally, any significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks could prompt adjustments within this market as traders react to broader market sentiment.