TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Jets vs. Avalanche
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 28 at 7:00PM ET: If the Jets win, the market will resolve to "Jets". If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on spread/margin outcomes (who wins by how much), while Polymarket settles on total goals scored and moneyline outcomes. The platforms measure fundamentally different aspects of the same game.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you are predicting margin of victory (e.g., Colorado wins by 2+ goals). If you bet on Polymarket, you are predicting either total combined goals or which team wins. These outcomes are independent — a high-scoring Jets win resolves differently on each platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves exclusively on spread/margin outcomes. All four markets resolve YES only if one team wins by a specified goal margin (over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals). Key quote: 'If Colorado wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Winnipeg wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on total goals (Over/Under 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) and moneyline (Jets vs. Avalanche winner), plus one spread market (Avalanche -1.5). Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Jets and Avalanche combine to score 6 or more goals' and 'If the Jets win, the market will resolve to Jets. If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to Avalanche.'
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