TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the possible outcomes of a professional boxing match between Jermall Charlo and Koen Mazoudier, focusing on how each fighter might win or if the match could end in a draw. The market will determine which scenario occurs based on the official result of the bout.
The event covers all potential results of the Jermall Charlo vs Koen Mazoudier boxing match scheduled for October 17, 2026, including wins by knockout/tKO/DQ, decision, or a draw/no contest. If either boxer wins via KO/TKO/DQ or decision, or if the bout ends in a draw or no contest, the corresponding market resolves accordingly. Postponements within 7 days of the original date do not affect resolution; the market will adjust based on the actual fight outcome. If the fight is canceled or fails to start within this 7-day window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of scheduling changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may adjust lines to balance their book, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on fighter rankings and historical data, this market can quickly adapt to factors like training updates or pre-fight analysis, potentially offering a more nuanced view of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The method of victory declared by the official fight result will determine the winning contract. For example, if Charlo wins by knockout, the contract for 'Charlo by Knockout' will pay out. The official result, as reported by recognized boxing authorities, serves as the basis for determining the outcome of this market. No further details on resolution are available.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference interactions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from respected boxing experts, or large bets placed by known, successful traders, could also cause price movements. Furthermore, updates on the fighters’ weight class or physical condition leading up to the fight are likely to influence the probabilities reflected in this market. Public perception and betting trends from traditional sportsbooks might also play a role, though this market is driven by its own independent analysis.