TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC?

Total volume:
$193
Volume 24h:
$3N/A
Liquidity:
$4,385
24%
Open interest:
$193
2%

Jeju SK

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:05h:38m

Jeju SK wins

57%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 57¢ buys you 175 shares | Odds: 57% Total Payout: $175 | Net Profit: $75 Multiplier: 1.75x | ROI: 75% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jeju SK

Trade
57%
1%
Yes 57¢No 47¢
4¢
N/A
$175
2%
N/A
$175
4d 5h 38m
Active
polymarket

Jeju SK FC

56%
Yes 58¢No 46¢
4¢
$1,353
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
57%
Yes 57¢No 47¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Gwangju

22%
Yes 20¢No 84¢
4¢
N/A
$18
0%
N/A
$18
4d 5h 38m
Active
polymarket

Gwangju FC

19%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
$1,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
22%
Yes 20¢No 84¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

Draw (Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC)

24%
Yes 26¢No 78¢
4¢
$1,531
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 2h 38m
Active
kalshi

Tie

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a K League 1 soccer match between Jeju SK FC and Gwangju FC on November 7, 2026. Markets exist for Jeju SK FC winning, Gwangju FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time, with similar handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official K League statistics (kleague.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for Jeju SK FC resolves the 'Jeju SK FC win' market to 'Yes'.
  • A win for Gwangju FC resolves the 'Gwangju FC win' market to 'Yes'.
  • A draw resolves the 'Draw' market to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the 'Jeju SK FC win' and 'Gwangju FC win' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data sources are available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Jeju SK FC and Gwangju FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the specified professional soccer match after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the home team, Jeju SK, scores more goals than the away team, Gwangju, the 'Jeju SK' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Gwangju scores more goals, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should both teams finish with an equal number of goals, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no regard for extended play or penalty determinations.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Jeju vs. Gwangju match. Currently, the consensus view suggests a fairly even contest, with a combined volume of $193 across both platforms. This allows users to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' is pricing the likelihood of different results. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. It’s important to note that while both platforms address the same question, their individual probabilities and trading volumes may vary, offering a nuanced perspective on expectations for this match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different type of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective beliefs of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to factors not fully captured by sportsbook models. The volume of $193 traded on this market suggests a level of interest that can sometimes surpass that of traditional betting venues, potentially leading to more accurate price discovery. It’s a good practice to compare both to gain a fuller understanding of the potential outcomes.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can stem from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Jeju vs. Gwangju match. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity—or 24-hour volume of $3—on each platform can affect how quickly prices react to new information. These factors contribute to the independent price formation observed on each venue, even though they are tracking the same underlying event.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data source. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will be settled. The outcome of this market is determined by the actual result of the match, not by any pre-match predictions or analyses.

Several signals could significantly shift the probabilities in this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Jeju SK FC or Gwangju FC would undoubtedly impact expectations. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also cause a re-evaluation of the odds. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day could play a role. Any news related to team morale, coaching changes, or tactical adjustments could also influence traders' assessments and move this market.