TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:05h:38m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a K League 1 soccer match between Jeju SK FC and Gwangju FC on November 7, 2026. Markets exist for Jeju SK FC winning, Gwangju FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Jeju SK FC and Gwangju FC.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the specified professional soccer match after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the home team, Jeju SK, scores more goals than the away team, Gwangju, the 'Jeju SK' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Gwangju scores more goals, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should both teams finish with an equal number of goals, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no regard for extended play or penalty determinations.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different type of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective beliefs of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may be more sensitive to factors not fully captured by sportsbook models. The volume of $193 traded on this market suggests a level of interest that can sometimes surpass that of traditional betting venues, potentially leading to more accurate price discovery. It’s a good practice to compare both to gain a fuller understanding of the potential outcomes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can stem from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Jeju vs. Gwangju match. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity—or 24-hour volume of $3—on each platform can affect how quickly prices react to new information. These factors contribute to the independent price formation observed on each venue, even though they are tracking the same underlying event.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data source. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will be settled. The outcome of this market is determined by the actual result of the match, not by any pre-match predictions or analyses.
Several signals could significantly shift the probabilities in this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Jeju SK FC or Gwangju FC would undoubtedly impact expectations. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also cause a re-evaluation of the odds. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day could play a role. Any news related to team morale, coaching changes, or tactical adjustments could also influence traders' assessments and move this market.