TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome method of a scheduled UFC fight between Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani and Farman Hasanov. It covers whether the fight concludes via knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, decision, or draw/no contest. The result depends entirely on how the match ends during the event on October 31, 2026.
The market resolves based on the method of victory or match conclusion in the Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov UFC Fight Night event scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Lebosnoyani or Hasanov wins by knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), or disqualification (DQ), the market resolves to Yes under the first rule. A victory via submission triggers a Yes resolution per the second rule. Winning by decision—whether split, majority, or unanimous—also results in a Yes outcome according to the third rule. Finally, if the fight ends in a draw or no contest, the market resolves to Yes under the fourth rule. All rules apply exclusively to the originally scheduled fight date and method of finish, with no affiliation implied between Kalshi and the governing league; all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting differing information and participant motivations. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders focused solely on forecasting the most likely outcome. If sportsbooks emphasize popular narratives or have biases, this market may offer a more accurate assessment. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or the influence of news and analysis. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible finish method. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each finish. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The method of finish – whether it’s by knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification – will be determined by the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov fight. The resolution will reflect the officially recorded and verified finish method, as reported by recognized sports news outlets and boxing authorities.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries would be a major catalyst. Changes in public perception, driven by pre-fight interviews or analysis, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s rules or location might also impact trading activity. Finally, significant betting activity from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing prices to adjust accordingly.